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Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.Outlook of Consumer Industry of Minyin Securities in 2025: The expansion of domestic demand grasps the opportunity of differentiation and change. Minyin Securities released a report on the outlook of consumer industry in 2025, saying that consumer demand is generally weak in 2024, and price factors also restrict growth. Looking forward to China's consumer industry in 2025: (1) Consumption plays a leading role and expanding domestic demand is in a more priority position. The variety and scale of trade-in of consumer goods are expected to continue to expand, and local governments will also introduce new policies to promote consumption in light of local conditions. (2) Rational consumption is more differentiated, and consumers pay for quality-price ratio and spiritual experience. The performance of Tou International Consumer Goods Company in China is also characterized by differentiation. Most of them recognize the long-term value of the China market. Despite short-term challenges, they plan to focus on strengthening localization and continue to invest in the China market. (3) When Trump comes to power, consumption will face greater challenges, and it will require higher global supply chain integration ability, diversified layout and localization ability. It is suggested to grasp the main line of domestic demand expansion, including dairy products with expected improvement at the bottom, outdoor sectors with high prosperity and tidal play sectors. If the demand recovers as scheduled, the catering/sports shoes and clothing/chain retail industry in a period of change will be flexible. In terms of export chain, it is necessary to observe whether the risk of trade friction is fully priced. In the medium term, the overseas market is vast, and the key to success is the added value and bargaining power of products, the matching degree between overseas demand and overseas supply chain, and the global diversified layout.LinkedIn's server was abnormally disconnected from the network. Customer Service: The recovery time is uncertain for the time being. On December 13th, several LinkedIn owners reported that the user's APP car control was abnormal and could not connect to the network. Link Auto Customer Service said that this incident was caused by the abnormal fluctuation of the cloud server, which led to the abnormal use of some car control apps. Currently, it is being urgently processed, and the recovery time is uncertain. (On the news)

Turkish regulators will block access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges.Amazon said it would broadcast Trump's inauguration live on Prime Video. A spokesman for the US e-commerce giant Amazon said on Thursday that the company would donate $1 million to the inauguration fund of US President-elect Donald Trump and will broadcast Trump's inauguration live on its Prime Video service. The spokesman said that the live broadcast of Prime Video represented another donation worth $1 million in kind.The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.6%; Led by industrial and commercial stocks, the Hang Seng Index fell 1.6% to 20,072.69 in Hong Kong. In midday trading, industrial and commercial stocks led the market down, and all kinds of stocks fell; Of the 83 stocks, 75 fell and 7 rose. Meituan dragged down the index the most, falling by 2.8%. Budweiser Asia Pacific suffered the biggest decline, down 6.1%.

Vista Jiajie: The development of cloud computing and digitalization in Asia-Pacific IT distribution is accelerating. According to the research report of CLSA, Vista Jiajie, as the eighth largest IT distributor in the world and the second largest IT distributor in China, has benefited from the rapid growth of cloud computing and the digitalization development in Southeast Asia, and has a good market position. The company occupies a dominant position in the ICT industry in the Asia-Pacific region, especially in Southeast Asia and China, with obvious demographic advantages and huge growth potential. Vista Jiajie is Starlink's preferred partner in ASEAN. The global cloud computing market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 18.6% from 2023 to 2027. Vista Jiajie has an optimistic prospect in the fields of cloud computing and artificial intelligence.Market news: Russian troops advance to strategic cities in eastern Ukraine.Pinduoduo's concept oscillates higher, which is worth buying up by over 10%, and Pinduoduo's concept oscillates higher, which is worth buying up by over 10%. If Yuchen has a daily limit, Yuanlong Yatu, Xuan Ya International, rebate technology, online and offline will follow suit.